BTC closes at or above its opening price
No structural early-knowledge advantage is apparent: the outcome is produced and disclosed in ways no participant controls.
- Market ID
- 0x00000000…00004746
- Status
- Trading
- Expiry
- · checking window…
- Window
- 24-hour window
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View the Somnia registry ↗D1Outcome ControlLevel 1 · Natural process
The outcome is the exchange market price of a major crypto asset, a process no identifiable party controls.
BTC closes at or above its opening price
D2Knowledge CircleLevel 1 · None
The settlement price becomes known to everyone at the moment it exists; there is no early-knowledge window.
BTC closes at or above its opening price
D3Insider TradabilityLevel 1 · Prohibited enforced
With no early-knowledge window (D2 = none), there is no insider position for any constraint to apply to.
BTC closes at or above its opening price
D4Disclosure SynchronicityLevel 1 · Fixed schedule
The market settles on a fixed window expiry via on-chain oracle publication, auditable at the Somnia oracle hub (https://prd.oracle.somnia.host/explore).
BTC closes at or above its opening price
D5Outcome ManufacturabilityLevel 2 · Prohibitively costly
Moving the global market price of a major crypto asset enough to flip the strike dwarfs any plausible bet size.
BTC closes at or above its opening price
- This score reflects the structural risk of the event type, not live detection of insider activity in this market.
- This is not a prediction of the outcome and not trading advice.