Will the Continental Infrastructure Modernization Act pass both chambers of the Federal Assembly of Vantia before March 31, 2027?
The outcome is produced by an institutional decision, which widens the circle of people who know it early.
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View the Somnia registry ↗D1Outcome ControlLevel 4 · Institutional decision
The outcome is produced by votes of a legislature — an institutional decision.
by both the House of Representatives and the Senate of the Federal Assembly of Vantia
D2Knowledge CircleLevel 5 · Large or unbounded
Whip counts, leadership intentions, and lobbying spread outcome-relevant knowledge across an effectively unbounded population.
pending scheduling for a floor vote in both chambers
D3Insider TradabilityLevel 4 · Ambiguous
Rules restraining legislators or staff from trading this contract on this venue are unclear at best.
as recorded in the official Assembly voting records
D4Disclosure SynchronicityLevel 2 · Official roughly scheduled
Final votes are public official events held on roughly known schedules; everyone observes the result as it happens.
by roll-call or recorded voice vote
D5Outcome ManufacturabilityLevel 4 · Small group
Chamber leadership can time or block the outcome — declining to schedule the vote manufactures a NO.
if the current legislative session ends before passage
- This score reflects the structural risk of the event type, not live detection of insider activity in this market.
- This is not a prediction of the outcome and not trading advice.